On this site, I predicted the decline in the price of oil when everyone was freaking about $140/boe. Here is yet another prediction:
- Oil will be at around $95 by the beginning of the Summer
- There will be a fairly major market correction coming within the next month.
So let’s talk about the first: The DOE says that there is 2x more likelihood to see lower prices vs. higher. So why would I go against what all of those very highly paid economists in the gov. are saying? Well, you see, although Gasoline production is just a part of what we use oil for, it is an indicator of activity in the economy. There is a lot of activity prior and during a recovery that you might not have during normal times. March 2010 set a record in both gasoline demand and gasoline production. If that trend continues, when the summer gas utilization kicks up in its normal cycle, you will see a counter-reaction in the price of oil. I can easily see it at $95, hitting $100 during the summer. I was right when I predicted the drop in the price a while back and I think I will be correct now. The beneficiaries of this will be the oil producers. Go ahead and buy their stocks.
Now for the second. The stock market is growing at a fantasy clip, not matched in any way by the economic indicators. With 1 in 10 of us unemployed and not hopeful, and with talk of a double dipper based on our unsustainable debt, the market at some point has to look at itself and correct. I don’t think that the correction is going to extensive, but I do think it will be painful. And I think it’s coming in the next four weeks.
Peace!!! (thru Strength).
Kylie Batt Says: May 4th, 2010at 3:32 pm
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On this site, I predicted the decline in the price of oil when everyone was freaking about $140/boe…..
Kylie Batt Says: May 12th, 2010at 7:57 am
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So let’s talk about the first: […….
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